Scientific work on the
UN's IPCC’s Sixth
Assessment Report,
for 2022, appears to
be breaking with
past over-predictions
of global warming.
Not improving the
climate predictions,
making them worse,
to fully embrace
the climate hysteria
in the past two years.
There are dozens
of climate models,
and since the 1970s
they’ve agreed,
on average, that
each CO2 doubling.
would heat the planet
by about +3° Celsius
+/- 50% !
+/- 50% !
In reality, +3° Celsius
over predicts actual
warming by 2x to 3x.
And of course
the cause
of the actual
global warming
is unknown
-- so it is
merely
merely
ASSUMED
that rising
CO2 levels
are the cause.
Last year,
some of the
"revised"
climate models,
for the next
IPCC report
in 2022,
started running
even hotter
-- with some
predicting
in excess
of +5°C.
global warming
per CO2 doubling !
The model
run by NCAR,
which is one
of Americas
main climate
science
institutions,
claimed that
a CO2 doubling
would lead to
a +5.3°C world.
The U.K.’s main
research group,
claimed +5.5°C
global warming.
A team at the U.S.
Department of Energy
claimed +5.3°C.
The Canadian model
claimed +5.6°C.
France’s National
Center for
Meteorological
Research
claimed +4.9°C.
Please remember:
Models are just
personal opinions,
not scientific facts
not scientific facts
... that have never
made good global
average temperature
predictions in the
past.
The similarity of the
numbers suggests
collusion !
Moving back to
'reality-land":
A Pew Research
2019 survey reported
that “Climate Change”
ranked in 17th place,
out of all 18
“important issues”,
in a poll of Americans.
The issue has ranked
second-to-last
going back to 2014.
Climate alarmists
now want to move
into 'full speed ahead
implementation',
after marginalizing
all opponents.
In 2018,
we found out
the U.S. Green
New Deal goal
was mainly
implementing
US socialism,
plus ending
the use of
fossil fuels
in a decade !
It was hard to tell
what the main
objective was,
because most
of the spending
was proposed for
implementing new
welfare and social
programs, not
CO2 emissions
reductions !
https://elonionbloggle.blogspot.com/2019/07/climate-change-is-not-top-priority-for.html
https://elonionbloggle.blogspot.com/2019/11/the-green-new-socialism-existential.html
https://elonionbloggle.blogspot.com/2019/07/climate-change-is-not-top-priority-for.html
https://elonionbloggle.blogspot.com/2019/11/the-green-new-socialism-existential.html
There is no doubt
that the media debate
has been decisively won
by the climate alarmists.
But the scientific debate
never happened.
The cimate alarmists
refuse to debate.
So, climate alarmists
may have won
the war of words.
And they did create
hysteria in the media.
Such as TIME
magazine rewarding
climate science
ignoramus
Ms. Greta Thunberg,
with Person of the Year.
"Thundering Thunberg"
angrily berates adults
about using fossil fuels.
What a charming
teenage high school
dropout !
Adults in the room
nod their heads
in "agreement",
but do not
DO anything,
except to vote
for non-binding
resolutions
that don’t require
big CO2 emitters
( China and India )
to do anything.
In the real world,
not that much
has happened.
India, China, Africa,
and most of the rest
of the Third World,
are expanding
electrification,
mainly with new
coal power plants.
The only ones
making noise:
Europe,
Australia,
and Canada,
have CO2
emissions
reduction goals
that will be
offset by Asia !
We’ll see
who "wins"
AFTER the
people find out
just how much
they must pay
for their "share"
of a Green Deal.
Voters have
not yet felt
much of
an effect
on their own
quality of life.
The backlash
will only start
after costs rise,
taxes rise,
freedoms
diminish,
and choices
disappear.
Perhaps a good leading
indicator will the most
important U.S. "poll":
The U.S. presidential
election in early
November 2020.