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Friday, April 24, 2020

The 97% Consensus lie works well for leftist climate alarmists, because they are not very bright !

Cook et al., 2013 
Reviewed ONLY 
the abstracts 
of peer-reviewed 
papers, from 
1991 to 2011.

Claimed a
97% consensus
of scientists
about IPCC claims
( UN's Intergovernmental 
Panel on Climate Change )
about man made
CO2 causing most
of the global warming.

Legates et al. (2013),
a peer reviewed, 
examination of the
Cook et al. 2013 study,
found that: 
“ only 41 papers 
         ( 0.3% ) 
of all 11,944 abstracts

              and

only 1.0% of only those 
4,014 abstracts that
expressed an opinion, 

not 97%, 

had been found to endorse 
the standard or quantitative 
( IPCC) hypothesis.”




Anderegg et al., 2010
Claimed to find 
“97% – 98%" 
of the 
climate researchers 
most actively publishing 
in the field supported 
IPCC claims about
anthropogenic 
(man made) 
climate change.


But this was not a 
survey of scientists.

Anderegg simply 
counted the number 
of articles he found 
on the Internet, 
published in 
academic journals, 
by 908 scientists. 

And falsely a
ssumed
abstracts of 
their papers 
accurately 
reflected 
their findings. 

What Anderegg 
actually discovered 
is a small clique 
of climate alarmists 
who had their 
names added 
to hundreds 
of articles 
published in 
academic journals, 
something that 
would have been 
considered 
unethical 
just a decade 
or two ago. 

Anderegg asserted 
that those “top 50" 
are more credible 
than scientists 
who publish 
less often, but 
he made no effort 
to prove that.

No one asked
if the authors 
believed that 
global warming 
is a serious problem, 
or if the science 
was sufficiently 
established 
to be the basis 
for public policy. 




Doran and Zimmerman, 2009
They claimed 
“97% of climate 
scientists agree” 
         that
global average 
temperatures 
have risen since 
before the 1800s, 
and that humans 
are a significant 
contributing factor.

The authors 
deliberately 
excluded:
Solar scientists, 
space scientists, 
cosmologists, 
physicists, 
meteorologists 
and astronomers. 

Doing that eliminated
thousands of scientists 
most likely to think 
that the Sun, or the
planetary movements, 
might have 
something to do 
with Earth's climate.

That left a total of
10,257 scientists, 
in disciplines such as 
geology, 
oceanography,
paleontology, and 
geochemistry.

Note that only 5% 
of the respondents 
self-identified 
as climate scientists.

The authors get 
their fraudulent 
“97%" of climate 
scientists believe" 
conclusion,
by focusing on 
only 79 scientists
out of all 3,146 
responses !

79 climate scientists
is hardly a representative 
sample of scientific opinion.




Oreskes, 2004
Oreskes is not a scientist.

And she reported 
examining only abstracts 
from 928 scientific papers, 
listed in the Institute for 
Scientific Information database,
published in scientific journals 
from 1993 and 2003, 
using the key search words 
“global climate change.” 

Using the search term
“global climate change” 
instead of just
“climate change”, 
resulted in her finding 
fewer than 
one-thirteenth 
of the estimated 
total count of 
scientific papers 
on "climate change", 
over the stated period. 

Perhaps that 
was deliberate ?

She concluded
75% of the abstracts 
either implicitly 
or explicitly 
supported IPCC’s view 
that human activities
were responsible for 
most of the warming 
over the previous 
50 years, and made 
the amazing false claim 
that NO ONE dissented !

Oreskes’ methodology
assumed a nonscientist 
like her could determine 
the findings of 
scientific research 
by reading only abstracts 
of the published papers. 

Even trained 
climate scientists 
are unable to do that,
because abstracts often 
do not accurately reflect 
the articles’ actual findings. 

Medical researcher 
Klaus-Martin Schulte 
used the 
same database 
and search terms 
as Oreskes, 
to examine 
papers published 
from 2004 to 
February 2007.

He found that 
fewer than half 
endorsed the 
“IPCC consensus”, 
and only 7% 
did so explicitly.



A group of Canadian 
retired Earth and 
atmospheric scientists, 
called themselves 
"Friends of Science".

They produced 
a 2014 report 
that reviewed 
four popular 
climate change 
surveys, and abstract
-counting exercises.

Friends of Science claim
honest conclusions, based
on ALL the data received,
without selective editing,
would have been:

(A)
Oreskes actually found 
only 1.2% agreement, 


(B)
Doran and Zimmerman 
actually found 
only 3.4% agreement, 


(C)
Anderegg et al.
actually found 
66% agreement, 
and 


(D)
Cook et al. 
actually found 
only 0.54% 
agreement. 


There was no 
97%, 98% or 100% 
consensus on 
human-caused
global warming, 
as claimed in the
four fake studies.



Modern climate 
"science" was the 
original fake news.

It consists of 
wild guess, 
scary predictions
of the future climate,
that are 100% wrong !

These 
predictions 
started with 
Roger Revelle, 
in the late 1950s.

The leftist-biased 
mainstream press 
consistently ignores 
how inaccurate the 
climate predictions 
have been.

But they'll publish
any predictions 
that claim the 
future climate
will be a disaster !

It should be 
no surprise
that fake climate
predictions are 
supported by 
fake consensus 
"studies".

Of course 
real science 
is NOT based 
on a popular vote 
of scientists.

Claiming a 
consensus 
is proof of
something,
is a logical 
fallacy called
an "Appeal to
Authority".



In the history 
of science,
a strong 
"consensus" 
was only evidence 
that the underlying
science was wrong --
-- ranging from 
slightly wrong, to 
completely wrong.

Progress 
in real science
is almost always 
from individuals, 
or small teams, 
that prove the
scientific
consensus 
was wrong, 
often after years 
of facing many
character attacks!



The fake 
97% surveys 
are used to support 
climate junk science, 
led by government 
bureaucrats, all
predicting a coming 
climate catastrophe, 
( for the past 34 years ! )
to ensure their own 
permanent job security:

(1) 
Predict a 
climate crisis 
every year.


(2)
Reason given: 
"Because we 
are big shots:
 We work for 
the government,
and we have 
advanced science 
degrees ... 
and we say so ! "


(3) 
Claim you must be right, 
because almost everyone 
you know agrees with you !


(4) 
Claim that 97%
of scientists agree, 
so the science 
must be "settled".

As if science 
is ever settled !