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Friday, May 8, 2020

Green Deals to boost economic recovery from Covid-19 ?

With the 
economic damage 
from COVID-19 
mounting up, 
blind pursuit of the 
EU green agenda
is unaffordable.

This recession, 
like every other 
in recent decades, 
will see a recovery 
based on cheap 
supplies of 
fossil fuels.

The bottom line is that 
wind and solar power 
only supply 3% of the 
world’s energy.

And there is no evidence 
that modern economies 
can compete with Asia 
if they use a high 
percentage of 
expensive, intermittent
renewable energy.

Every big recession 
over the last 40 years 
has been a blow for 
green energy spending 
wanted by the climate 
change cult.

Renewable start-ups 
often went bankrupt – 
although their 
technologies 
survived.


Enough people have 
warned/predicted that 
a virus scare 
would be used 
as the pretext for a 
(authoritarian socialist) 
revolution in global 
economics and 
governance.

Repeating the 
false mantra 
that green energy 
is cheap, 
and a climate 
disaster looms,
the 'greens' 
have convinced 
a lot of people that 
they are saving us 
from the nasty 
“deniers” and 
oil tycoons.


Electric cars pose challenges 
for the electric grid, for which 
there are only expensive 
infrastructure building 
solutions.

There is also a dangerous 
reliance on China for 
batteries and materials. 


Nothing has changed
since the Paris Agreement

China, India and the rest 
of the developing world 
have no interest in ditching 
their fossil fuel powered 
economies.

Even the German industry
federation (BDI) never liked 
the Europe’s Green Deal. 

The BDI claims that the 
adjustments needed to comply 
with cuts of 50% to 55%
 in greenhouse emissions 
by 2030 ( compared to 1990 ) 
are unachievable and must be 
reviewed urgently in light of 
COVID-19 “changes to
economic circumstances".



An interesting point is that 
it is not just the developing 
world who are ignoring 
the Paris agreement: 
There is also Japan,
and the USA, which has 
so much natural gas 
that we are exporting coal. 

The Paris Agreement 
Article 4.1 specifically 
excludes developing 
countries from 
any obligation 
to reduce their 
CO2 emissions. 

This is unchanged 
from the United Nations 
Framework Convention 
on Climate Change Treaty 
that came into force 
in March 1994.

With >80% of the 
global population, 
and >60% of 
global CO2 emissions
and about 100% of the 
CO2 emissions increase 
since 1990, 
excluding the
developing nations 
makes maintaining 
CO2 emissions
at current levels
difficult.


In the end, politicians 
like getting reelected. 

It will be tougher
to get reelected 
with 10% to 15% 
unemployment, 
with tax increases
to fund more 
'green' energy
projects, and 
and the resulting 
higher energy prices. 

'Going green' is a luxury
– nations can only afford it 
during good times.