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Monday, June 8, 2020

Will Miami, Florida be under several feet of water in 2100 ?

South of 
Donald Trump's 
weekend retreat
in Florida, 
the residents 
and businesses 
of south Florida 
are experiencing 
regular episodes 
of water in the 
streets. 








Ask nearly anyone
in the Miami area 
about flooding and 
they’ll have an 
anecdote to share. 

It is happening 
more frequently. 

Sea levels
have been rising 
around the world 
for 20,000 years.

There has been 
a mean rise of 
a little more than 
3mm per year 
worldwide
since the 1990s.

But in the last decade, 
the NOAA Virginia Key 
tide gauge just south 
of Miami Beach 
has measured a 
9mm rise annually.

Most of Miami Beach’s 
built environment
sits at an elevation of 
only 60-120cm (2-6ft). 

Underground aquifers 
and septic tanks
are even closer to 
the water table.

The tide gauge 
at Virginia Key, 
just outside Miami, 
has a long term rate 
of sea level rise of 
2.92mm/yr, 
a rise rate that has
been accelerating 
in recent decades:

Virginia Key data
only go back to 1931. 
Fernandina Beach, just up 
the Florida coast, has data 
going back to 1897, that
tell a different story:






The overall rate 
of rise there
is less scary
at 2.15mm/yr,
and 
is no higher
than it was
in the first half 
of the 20th 
century.


If we focus on
the most recent 
50-year trends,
we see that 
Virginia is running 
at 3.52mm/yr, 
but Fernandina 
is lower. at 2.77mm. 

There is 
no evidence 
that Florida 
will see up to
81 inches 
of sea level 
rise by 2100, 
as climate 
alarmists 
hysterically 
report. 

Based on the
current trends, 
a figure of about
8 inches  is more 
likely.