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Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Fake Consensus Survey (D) -- Cook 2013

Cook et al., 2013

A paper by John Cook, 
an Australia-based blogger, 
and some of his friends, 
published in 
Environmental 
Research Letters, 
review the abstracts 
of peer-reviewed papers, 
from 1991 to 2011.

They found 97% of those 
that stated a position, 
explicitly or implicitly, 
suggested human activity 
is responsible 
for some warming. 

This exercise 
in abstract-counting 
doesn’t support 
the IPCC claim 
that climate change 
is both man-made 
and dangerous.

It doesn’t
even support 
IPCC’s claim 
that the majority 
of global warming 
in the 20th century 
was man-made.

This study 
was quickly 
debunked by 
Legates et al. (2013) 
in a paper published 
in Science & Education. 

Legates et al. found 
“only 41 papers
 – 0.3% 
of all 11,944 abstracts 
or 1.0% 
of the 4,014 abstracts
expressing an opinion, 
not 97%, 
had been found to endorse 
the standard or quantitative 
hypothesis.”


Most of the papers
they studied 
are not about 
climate change, 
and its causes, 
but were taken 
as evidence 
anyway. 

Papers on carbon 
taxes, for example, 
naturally assume 
that carbon dioxide 
emissions cause 
global warming
– but merely 
using that 
assumption 
does not mean 
the paper 
does anything 
to support 
that assumption !