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Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Fake Consensus Survey (C) -- Anderegg 2010

Anderegg et al., 2010

William R. Love Anderegg, 
a Stanford University student, 
used Google Scholar 
to identify the views 
of the most prolific writers 
on climate change. 

He claimed to find 
“97% – 98% of the 
climate researchers 
most actively publishing 
in the field support 
the tenets of anthropogenic 
(man made) climate change 
outlined by the Intergovernmental 
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 

This college paper 
was published 
in Proceedings of the 
National Academy 
of Sciences, thanks to 
the addition of 
three academics
as coauthors.

This is not 
a survey 
of scientists.

Anderegg simply
counted the number 
of articles he found 
on the Internet, 
published in 
academic journals, 
by 908 scientists. 

This counting exercise 
falsely assumed
abstracts of papers 
accurately reflect 
their findings. 

Anderegg 
did not determine 
how many 
of these authors 
believe global warming 
is harmful, or if they 
believed the science
was sufficiently 
established to be 
the basis for 
public policy. 

Anderegg didn’t count 
as “skeptics” 
the scientists 
whose work 
exposes gaps 
in the man-made 
global warming theory, 
or contradicts claims 
that climate change 
will be catastrophic. 

Hundreds of scientists 
fall into this category, 
even though 
some profess 
to “believe in" 
global warming.


Anderegg et al. found 
the average skeptic 
has been published 
about half as frequently 
as the average alarmist 
(60 versus 119 articles). 

The 50 most prolific 
climate alarmists 
were published 
an average 
of 408 times, 
versus only 
89 times 
for the skeptics. 

Reason:
The US government 
paid $64 billion 
to climate researchers 
during the four years 
from 2010 to 2013, 
virtually all to find 
a human impact 
on the climate, 
and virtually 
no dollars spent 
on examining 
natural causes 
of climate change.

It is also increasingly
common for 
academic articles 
on climate change 
to have multiple authors,
even a dozen or more,
inflating the number of times 
a researcher can claim 
to have been published.

Climate scientists 
who are skeptics 
tend to be older, 
and under much less  
pressure to publish.

What Anderegg 
actually discovered 
is a small clique 
of climate alarmists 
who had their names 
added to hundreds 
of articles published 
in academic journals, 
something that would 
have been considered 
unethical just a decade 
or two ago. 

Anderegg asserts 
those “top 50" 
are more credible 
than scientists 
who publish 
less often, but 
made no effort 
to prove that.

Once again, 
no one asked
if the authors believe 
that global warming 
is a serious problem, 
or if the science was 
sufficiently established 
to be the basis

for public policy.