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Monday, March 15, 2021

"Tropical cyclones over the western north Pacific since the mid-nineteenth century"

 Source:
 
Kubota, H., Matsumoto, J., Zaiki, M. et al.
Tropical cyclones over the western north Pacific
since the mid-nineteenth century. 
 Climatic Change 164, 29 (2021).

"Tropical cyclone (TC) activities over the western North Pacific (WNP) and TC landfall in Japan are investigated by collecting historical TC track data and meteorological observation data starting from the mid-nineteenth century.

... We focus on TC landfall in Japan using a combination of TC track data and meteorological data observed at weather stations and lighthouses from 1877 to 2019.

... We identify lower annual TC landfall numbers during the 1970s to the 2000s and find other periods have more TC landfall numbers including the nineteenth century.

No trend in TC landfall number is detected.

TC intensity is estimated by an annual power dissipation index (APDI).

High APDI periods are found to be around 1900, in the 1910s, from the 1930s to 1960s, and after the 1990s.

When we focus on the period from 1977 to 2019, a significant increasing trend of ADPI is seen, and significant northeastward shift of TC landfall location is detected.

Tropical cyclone (TC) impacts are one of the most severe disasters to affect western North Pacific (WNP) countries, due to strong wind, heavy rain, and storm surges. "