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Friday, January 12, 2018

Climate Models: Good For Scaring People -- Bad For Predictions


International climate policy 
is based on climate models,
that make wrong 
wild guess
predictions of the
future climate,
(no real science). 

With so many people
brainwashed that CO2
controls the temperature,
and man made CO2 
is carbon pollution,
they have no reason
to doubt climate models
that are based on 
the same beliefs.

The problem 
of climate models 
predicting 
far too much
warming has
not been solved.

Government,
bureaucrats 
continue to make
scary predictions
of rapid warming,
that will never
happen, as if
a scary prediction.
is much  more 
important than 
a correct prediction ! 

On October 11, 2017, 
Stony Brook University
a NY state university,
announced 
the climate models
are still not 
running properly! 

Quotes from the
Stony Brook 
press release follow:

"Using 19 climate models, 
a team of researchers 
led by Professor 
Minghua Zhang 
of the School of Marine 
and Atmospheric Sciences 
at Stony Brook University, 
discovered persistent 
dry and warm biases 
of simulated climate 
over the region of the 
Southern Great Plain 
in the central U.S. 
that was caused  
by poor modeling of 
atmospheric 
convective systems – 
the vertical transport 
of heat and moisture 
in the atmosphere." 

"Their findings, 
to be published 
in Nature 
Communications, 
call for 
better calculations 
in global climate models."

“Current climate models 
are limited by available 
computing powers 
even when cutting-edge 
supercomputers are used,” 
said Professor Zhang. "

"Already in 2014 
Mauri et al 
complained of
enormous 
discrepancies 
between the real 
and simulated 
developments 
for precipitation 
and temperature 
in Europe 
5000 years ago. 

Modeling of the past, 
i.e. the calibration, 
didn’t work at all. "

With so much 
disappointment 
one has to ask
where all 
the confidence 
surrounding 
climate models 
being reliable 
comes from?

The modelers
religiously believe 
CO2 will cause
triple the warming 
of what simple
lab experiments 
suggest.

And that could be 
the explanation
for why predicted
global warming
is almost triple
the warming 
that actually
happened.

Every model 
is junk science,
except maybe 
one unusual 
Russian model, 
that has a low 
CO2 sensitivity.

Climate science 
is not settled.

No science is ever settled.

It's only smarmy
leftist climate politics 
that are "settled" !

The future climate
is unpredictable.

Even the IPCC
once said that !


Quote from 
the UN's IPCC
Working Group 1:

“The climate system 
is a coupled 
non-linear 
chaotic system, 
and therefore 
the long-term 
prediction of 
future climate states 
is not possible.” 
        IPCC 
Working Group 1: 
The Scientific Basis