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Thursday, July 26, 2018

Modern climate "science" -- Where's the science ?

The first thing I thought 
of in 1997, when I began
reading about global warming is:
 Where's the science? 

Modern climate "science"
is led mainly by left-wing 
politicians and activists, 
which made me very 
suspicious!

The politicians are supported
by many government bureaucrats
with science degrees.

Some of the bureaucrats 
have PhD's,
but their modern 
climate "science" 
is Piled high and Deep 
science!

Climate cult claims
resemble a religion, 
not real science.

The climate change cult 
character attacks skeptics
as "science deniers", 
because they fear debate.

They fear debate
because they can't debate 
the climate science
behind their long term 
wild guess predictions
of the future climate:
 Reason: Their wild guess 
climate predictions, 
that have been wrong
for the past 30 years,
are not real science !

There is very little 
real science to debate,
so debates are avoided
by attacking skeptics
with ridicule and character
attacks, Saul Alinsky-style.

The only real science is
infrared spectroscopy
lab experiments 
that show CO2 acts 
as a greenhouse gas
in a closed system.

From that bit 
of real science, 
comes a series of 
climate assumptions,
that start off 
sounding reasonable,
but quickly change to
unproven speculations.


(1)
The first in a series of
climate assumptions,
is that more CO2 
in the atmosphere
will cause some amount 
of global warming.

That's an unproven assumption,
but also a reasonable assumption
if you honestly admit that
the amount of warming 
is unknown.

Greenhouse gas warming 
should most affect the 
cold, high latitudes:
And the Arctic is warming,
but Antarctica is not.

If you look at Antarctica in detail,
                    ( see next article )
there are small areas at the edges
of the ice sheets that have melting,
but that local melting is from
ocean heat, from nearby
underseas volcanoes!

Unfortunately, 
the primary claim
in modern climate "science",
is that the future climate 
is well "known"
( called  "settled science" ),
when it is not known,
not even for one year
into the future!

That false claim explains
why modern climate "science"
is junk science, used mainly
by leftist politicians
to scare people 
into giving them
more power over corporate
and private energy use, 
and allowing new taxes 
on energy use.



(2)
A second assumption
is piled on top of
that first assumption:

Warming from a doubling 
of CO2 levels will trigger a 
positive feedback from
more water vapor in the air,
which will triple the warming 
from CO2 alone.



(3)
The third assumption
is piled on top of
the second assumption:
  
The combination of 
more CO2 in the air,
and more water vapor,
will increase the average
temperature of Earth by
       +3 degrees C.
              +/- 1.5 degrees C.
which we have been told,
without even one revision,
believe it or not, since 1979, 
with absolutely no evidence
the assumption is true.



Conclusions by 
climate researchers, 
blaming humans 
       (anthropogenic)
for climate change 
are derived from 
circular reasoning. 

Circular reasoning 
is a logical fallacy 
where researchers 
assume they know 
the conclusion before
their experiment starts.

When researchers think
they "know" the answers, 
they don't study 
all the possible causes
of climate change
-- they only seek data
they can use 
to blame humans.
  ( this results from confirmation bias ).

In fact,
the UN IPCC's "mission"
is to prove that humans 
cause climate change,
so their mission statement
suffers from confirmation bias !

Scientists use complex
computer climate models
to predict the future 
average temperature.

Well, we have 30 years 
of scary climate model
predictions of warming 
that have turned out to be 
triple the actual warming.

When climate predictions
are so far from reality,
in real science that means
the assumptions that were
used to build the models,
especially (2) and (3),
are obviously wrong.

But not in modern 
climate "science",
where wrong predictions 
DO  NOT  MATTER.

And the 1979 guess of
+3 degrees C. warming
from a doubling of CO2,
plus the water vapor effect,
NEVER  CHANGES,
even though 
climate model predictions
would be close to reality
if the models assumed
 +1 degrees C. warming
from a doubling of CO2,
and no water vapor
positive feedback.

But we can't have 
a +1 degree C. warming
per CO2 doubling assumption,
because that assumption
means CO2 is harmless,
because it would take 
133 to 200 years 
for a mere +1 degree C. 
of global warming !



A recurring pattern 
of circular reasoning 
is to focus on 
one specific period,
from 1975 to 2003, 
when there was 
lots of global warming 
and rising CO2 levels too.

Of course there is no proof
CO2 caused the warming,
but in modern climate "science",
strong correlation of A and B
is good enough to claim 
A causes B !

-- Never mind 
that in real science,
correlation is not 
causation ! 

-- And never mind 
the global cooling trend,
as CO2 levels rose,
from 1940 to 1975.

In modern climate "science",
contradictory data 
DO  NOT  MATTER !

-- And never mind 
the lack of warming,
as CO2 levels rose a lot,
from 2003 through mid-2015.

In modern climate "science",
contradictory data 
DO  NOT  MATTER !



The hypothesis 
of global warming 
from man made CO2 
is "proven" 
with 1975 to 2003 data 
-- meaning the other 
4.5 billion years
of Earth's climate history
DO  NOT  MATTER !



Anthropogenic (man made )
acceleration of sea level rise:
would be the principal danger 
from global warming.

Sea level rise is claimed
to be accelerating 
due to CO2-caused
melting glaciers
and ice sheets,
but tide gages 
don't show that.

Paleo records show
that both temperature 
and sea level have been 
in rising trends,
from ice melting 
in the past 20,000 years,
starting at peak glaciation.

Man made CO2 ws obviously
NOT the cause of almost all
of the 400 foot sea level rise
in the past 20,000 years !



Modern climate "science"
claims to be saving humanity 
from itself, allowing the 
"global warmunists",
to constantly virtue signal 
that they are good people !

Warmunists even have the nerve 
to claim the world must act now,
and do everything they say,
even if their science is wrong
                 (what science?).

The warminists also
seem to be actively
participating in
a 'story telling contest'
to see who can write, 
and get published,
the most scary article
about the damage that will
allegedly be caused
by burning fossil fuels.

The articles are fairy tales,
with wild speculation, even 
when written by a person
with a science degree. 

Any claim can be made,
with the knowledge that
fellow leftists will never challenge
the claims in the articles, 
so anything goes !

I'm waiting for a new article 
claiming that man's 'favorite organ'
is shrinking from climate change!

That ought to scare people,
at least half of them!



I got tired of climate fairy tales
a few years ago, and started
this ad-free blog in response,
as a public service.

I still read a climate fairy tale
once in a while -- they are 
more bizarre than ever --
but I prefer to focus on
criticizing the lack 
of real science behind  
the climate change cult.

Modern climate "science"
is junk science.

It is supported mainly
by politicians and
government bureaucrats
with science degrees,
all of them doing a great job
of wasting taxpayers' dollars !



There is no danger from adding 
2 or 3 parts per million of CO2
to the air every year, 
and many known benefits,
based on real science experiments
-- thousands of experiments ! --
showing more CO2 in the air 
accelerates green plant growth, 
and 'greens' our planet, which is
easily measured with satellites !

Adding CO2 to the atmosphere,
from fossil fuels burned cleanly,
is very beneficial for our planet.

Burning fossil fuels in a way that
pollutes the air, as in China,
is harmful for our planet,
but the climate change cult
doesn't care about real pollution
of air, water and land in China
... and India ... and other parts
of Asia !