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Monday, February 25, 2019

"Pacific Ocean Tide Gauges Of 100+ Years - Both The Relative Rate Of Rise And Acceleration Are Negative"’

SUMMARY:
This Albert Parker
study's conclusion 
is that a fingerprint 
of man made effects 
on sea level data, 
has NOT been 
found in records 
from 30 long-term 
Pacific Ocean 
tide gauges.

This conclusions
is from a new paper 
( Albert Parker, 2019 ) 
published in the journal 
Ocean and Coastal 



DETAILS:
The averaged 
measurements 
from these 30 
tide gauge instruments
reveal a negative trend 
in both the rate 
of sea level rise
(-0.02 mm/yr) 
and acceleration 
(-0.00007 mm/yr2) 
since the early 
20th century.

Observations 
of negative 
sea level trends, 
for the Earth’s largest 
ocean basin, while 
CO2 concentrations 
rose from 
about 300 ppm, 
in 1900,
to 410 ppm today, 
do not support 
the claim that
man made 
CO2 emissions 
are a driver of 
sea level changes.



Climate model projections 
of meters of sea level rise 
by 2100 are dubious 
wild guesses.



“Japan has strong 
quasi-20 and 
quasi-60 years 
low frequencies 
sea level fluctuations.
... 1894/1906 to present, 
there is no sea level 
acceleration in the 
5 long-term stations."

"In Japan tide gauges 
are abundant, 
recording the sea levels 
since the end 
of the 19th century."

“As the sea levels 
have been oscillating, 
but not accelerating, 
in the long-term-trend 
tide gauges of Japan 
since the start 
of the 20th century, 
the same as all the other 
long-term-trend 
tide gauges 
of the world, 
it is increasingly 
unacceptable to base 
coastal management 
on alarmist predictions 
that are not supported 
by measurements.”

“The Japan 
Meteorological 
Agency (2018) 
has shown that 
the relative rise 
in sea level 
on the coast 
of Japan 
has stabilized 
since the 
beginning of the 
20th century 
and has not 
accelerated."





“At least 60 years of data
 collected by 
the same location 
without any 
perturbing event 
are needed to compute 
a reasonably accurate 
sea level rate of rise 
by linear fitting, and 
almost double that length,
at least more 
than 100 years, 
are needed to compute 
a reasonably accurate 
sea level acceleration 
by parabolic fitting." 

“The relative 
sea level rise 
measured by 
a tide gauge 
has a sea and 
a land component."

"The relative sea level 
may rise, or fall, 
not only because 
the volume of the water
is increasing, or reducing." 

"It may also rise, or fall, 
because the tide gauge 
instrument is sinking, 
or uplifting."