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Friday, October 11, 2019

Brahim et al. (2018) -- proxy evidence for centennial-scale solar forcing of the climate

Brahim, Y.A., Wassenburg, J.A., 
Cruz, F.W., Sifeddine, A., 
Scholz, D., Bouchaou, L., 
Dassié, E.P., Jochum, K.P., 
Edwards, R.L. and Cheng, H. 

2018

Multi-decadal to centennial 
hydro-climate variability 
and linkage to solar forcing 
in the Western Mediterranean 
during the last 1000 years. 

Scientific Reports 8: 17446, 
DOI:10.1038/s41598-018-35498-x.



NOTE:
Brahim et al. (2018) 
note that 
"information on 
climate variability 
in the Western 
Mediterranean 
remains scarce 
due to the lack of 
long instrumental 
datasets," 
    adding that 
"high-resolution 
paleoclimate 
reconstructions 
in this region 
are thus essential 
to increase our 
understanding of 
hydro-climate 
variability on 
various timescales 
and to discuss 
potential forcing 
mechanisms."



SUMMARY:
Brahim et al. conclude 
their work provides 
"new proxy evidence 
for centennial-scale 
solar forcing" 
of the climate
( unlike most
climate alarmists
who claim almost all 
climate change 
is from rising levels 
of man made CO2
in the atmosphere. )

Brahim et al. report 
"comparison with solar 
forcing reconstructions 
shows a striking consistency, 
... with a clear correlation ..."

The authors say that 
"negative phases of the 
North Atlantic Oscillation
that bring precipitation 
towards the Western 
Mediterranean, 
are observed during 
well-known solar 
minima periods," 



DETAILS:
The ten researchers 
created two new high 
resolution δ18O records
from two stalagmites 
in caves that were 
only a few 100 m apart 
in Morocco 
( Chaara cave and 
Grotte de Piste,
 ~33.96°N, 4.25°W ), 
which, when combined, 
provided a composite proxy 
for effective rainfall variability 
over the past millennium.


The chart below shows
a comparison of a solar 
modulation reconstruction  (a) 
       and a proxy of 
total solar irradiance (TSI)  (b) 
with the Northern Morocco 
composite precipitation 
reconstruction (Cha2-GP5)  (c) 

Light blue shading 
indicates periods 
of low solar activity: 
Oort minimum (1010-1090 AD), 
Wolf minimum (1280-1350 AD), 
Spörer minimum (1450-1550 AD), 
Maunder minimum (1645-1715 AD). 
Dalton minimum (1790-1820 AD). 

Black arrows indicate 
peaks of low solar activity 
and their corresponding peaks 
of wet conditions in Morocco: